✎ Contributed by Ty Griffin
U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose modestly Thursday as traders appeared confident that upcoming economic data will not reveal any major inflation shocks. With the government shutdown resolved, attention shifted back to macro indicators, and the bond market signaled expectations of stability rather than urgency around Federal Reserve action.
The modest rise in yields reflects a broader sentiment that the Fed is unlikely to pivot until there is clear evidence of economic weakening. For now, investors appear to be bracing for a steady rate environment while keeping a close eye on wage growth, global risks, and consumer strength.
Market Reaction
- Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C): $102.09, down $0.78 (0.76%)
- Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC): $53.36, down $0.75 (1.39%)
- Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE: SCHW): $96.27, down $1.44 (1.48%)
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM): $312.49, down $7.96 (2.48%)
- Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS): $818.55, down $20.49 (2.44%)
Investor Sentiment
Even as equities pulled back, the bond market’s calm suggests investors are not anticipating near-term turbulence in inflation or Fed policy. The focus has shifted to parsing soft data trends without overreacting to any single print.
That said, the selloff among financials hints at lingering concerns around rate sensitivity and credit exposure. With the next wave of macro data expected soon, positioning could turn quickly if any surprises surface.
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