Researchers from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (“IHME”) at the University of Washington have discovered evidence suggesting that the number of individuals who have succumbed to the coronavirus is higher than official reports have indicated. The team performed an analysis on fatalities caused by the coronavirus and reported its findings on the IHME website.
Many physicians involved in the fight against the pandemic agree that the number of individuals who have succumbed to this fatal disease is higher than official reports have shown. The discrepancy in numbers is mainly because many individuals who died weren’t listed as coronavirus casualties and were instead listed as dying from other causes.
While most medical experts seem to agree on this, the degree of difference seems to be a bone of contention. This is why the researchers from the University of Washington decided to calculate estimates for the total number of individuals who have died from COVID-19 in each country and find a global aggregate.
The team of researchers accomplished this by going through the death records for every country covering the pandemic period and comparing the average number of fatalities over the last few years with the records. The researchers assumed that any numbers in excess were attributed to the coronavirus or other factors linked to the COVID-19 pandemic, such as a higher chance of dying from a terminal illness due to fear of seeking treatment in a pandemic.
They also counted fatalities across the globe week by week in order to create their estimates. To do this, the researchers factored in half a dozen drivers of mortality, which include decreases in deaths caused by other ailments, decreases in deaths due to less spread of other ailments, decreases in deaths due to fewer accidents, a rise in deaths due to increases in mental health conditions, a rise in deaths caused by delayed treatment for other diseases and the total official fatalities from the coronavirus.
After conducting an analysis of the data, the team of scientists discovered major inconsistencies between the death tallies they found through calculations and the official reports. For instance, the researchers found that the number of COVID fatalities added up to 170,000 in Egypt, while official reports only recorded over 13,000 fatalities.
Additionally, they discovered that the actual death toll in the United States is about two times higher than official reports indicate. The reports show that as of May 3, the death toll head totaled more than 574,000. However, the researchers’ calculations show that the number of fatalities is more than 905,000.
Luckily, many companies such as XPhyto Therapeutics Corp. (CSE: XPHY) (OTCQB: XPHYF) (FSE: 4XT) have invested heavily in developing rapid diagnostic kits, so it is likely to get easier to identify individuals who are infected by the illness.
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